Analysts warn of further Bitcoin downside — Could BTC revisit $42K?

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Despite the gloomy outlook, Bitcoin could prevent more downside pressure if it manages to remain above the $51,000 mark.

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Analysts warn of further Bitcoin downside — Could BTC revisit $42K?

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Crypto analysts warn that the current Bitcoin sell-off could lead to lower lows, potentially threatening a dip below the $45,000 mark.

The Bitcoin (BTC) price fell by more than 12.8% in the past 24 hours to trade at a five-month low of $52,369 as of 10:13 am UTC, according to Cointelegraph data. Bitcoin last trading at this level at the end of February 2024.

Yet, Bitcoin’s downtrend could potentially extend to the $42,000 mark, according to Alex Kuptsikevich, senior market analyst at FXPro.

The analyst told Cointelegraph:

“At its lowest point, Bitcoin dipped below its 50-week moving average. Without strong buyer support right now, it goes even lower, and it would trigger an even more active sell-off as it did in late 2021 and early 2022. If it doesn’t hold either, it’s worth preparing for a failure toward $42K.”

Round psychological numbers like $42,000 often represent key focal points for crypto investors and the price action at these levels could determine Bitcoin’s momentum in the short term.

Related: Hong Kong’s largest online broker launches Bitcoin and Ether trading for 22 million users

Can Bitcoin remain above $45,000?

Despite the recent downside pressure, Bitcoin could still stage a recovery and avoid posting lower lows.

However, Bitcoin needs to decisively reclaim the $51,000 mark to avoid more downside, according to pseudonymous crypto analyst the Moon, who wrote in an Aug. 5 X post:

“BTC must get back above the support, otherwise we might dump to $45,000.”

BTC/USDT, 1-day chart, support line. Source: The Moon

Bitcoin’s over 20% decline remains in line with previous bull cycle retracements and was initially triggered by a failed attempt to conquer the $70,000 mark, according to Kuptsikevich. The senior market analyst added:

“Active pressure on the first cryptocurrency started after a failed attempt to go above $70K and overcome the resistance of the descending channel seven days ago.”

Related: Ethena Labs’ USDe launches as margin collateral on Bybit with 20% APR

Bitcoin holds significant support at the $50,000 mark

Despite the gloomy market outlook, Bitcoin’s price has a significant support level at the $50,000 psychological mark.

Over $400 million worth of cumulative leveraged short positions would get liquidated if Bitcoin potentially fell below the $50,000 mark, according to Coinglass data.

Bitcoin exchange liquidation map. Source: Coinglass

If the Bitcoin price falls below $49,400, short Bitcoin liquidations would reach over $520 million across all exchanges.

Magazine: Criminal at Bitcoin 2024, BTC Strategic Reserve Bill, and more: Hodler’s Digest, July 28 – Aug. 3

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